100The Real NFL Top 100
Quarterbacks·Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold

SEAQB
Overall
#65
Top 100 board
QB rank
#11
incl. duels
Ballot rank
#13
consensus

Strength

s = 4.96 ± 1.00 · score 3.96

Strength is the sum of three parts on one log-odds scale. The board ranks by strength minus its uncertainty.

Position baseline μ
from cross-position duels
+2.22 ±0.56
Ballot standing δ
from position ballots
+2.34 ±0.43
Duel adjustment ε
from this player’s own duels
+0.40 ±0.71

Ballots

On ballots
6/22
First-place votes
0
Avg rank
8.7
Consensus pts
2.0
Where voters rank him (1st → 15th)
Ranked #1 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #2 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #3 on 1 of 22 ballotsRanked #4 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #5 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #6 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #7 on 1 of 22 ballotsRanked #8 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #9 on 1 of 22 ballotsRanked #10 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #11 on 3 of 22 ballotsRanked #12 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #13 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #14 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #15 on 0 of 22 ballots

Rank history

Every refit is a snapshot — this is how the crowd’s opinion of him has moved as votes came in.

x-axis: refits in order · hover for detail
#1#40#79first refitlatest

Duels

10 · 100%
Most common opponents

Recent head-to-heads

Ranked alongside

Players most often on the same ballots as him.

What the model implies

Under the current fit, Sam Darnold would be favored over a player of equal standing at another position by the baseline gap between the positions. His own strength is 4.96; a player at strength 0 would beat him 1% of the time.