100The Real NFL Top 100
Quarterbacks·Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes

KCQB
Overall
#3
Top 100 board
QB rank
#2
incl. duels
Ballot rank
#3
consensus

Strength

s = 7.43 ± 0.77 · score 6.66

Strength is the sum of three parts on one log-odds scale. The board ranks by strength minus its uncertainty.

Position baseline μ
from cross-position duels
+2.22 ±0.56
Ballot standing δ
from position ballots
+5.03 ±0.26
Duel adjustment ε
from this player’s own duels
+0.17 ±0.46

Ballots

On ballots
21/22
First-place votes
2
Avg rank
4.2
Consensus pts
11.3
Where voters rank him (1st → 15th)
Ranked #1 on 2 of 22 ballotsRanked #2 on 2 of 22 ballotsRanked #3 on 4 of 22 ballotsRanked #4 on 4 of 22 ballotsRanked #5 on 4 of 22 ballotsRanked #6 on 1 of 22 ballotsRanked #7 on 4 of 22 ballotsRanked #8 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #9 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #10 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #11 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #12 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #13 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #14 on 0 of 22 ballotsRanked #15 on 0 of 22 ballots

Rank history

Every refit is a snapshot — this is how the crowd’s opinion of him has moved as votes came in.

x-axis: refits in order · hover for detail
#1#4#7first refitlatest

Duels

16–4 · 80%
Most common opponents

Recent head-to-heads

Ranked alongside

Players most often on the same ballots as him.

What the model implies

Under the current fit, Patrick Mahomes would be favored over a player of equal standing at another position by the baseline gap between the positions. His own strength is 7.43; a player at strength 0 would beat him 0% of the time.