100The Real NFL Top 100
Defensive backs·Denver Broncos

Pat Surtain II

DENDB
Overall
#7
Top 100 board
DB rank
#1
incl. duels
Ballot rank
#1
consensus

Strength

s = 7.26 ± 0.82 · score 6.44

Strength is the sum of three parts on one log-odds scale. The board ranks by strength minus its uncertainty.

Position baseline μ
from cross-position duels
−1.02 ±0.56
Ballot standing δ
from position ballots
+7.56 ±0.30
Duel adjustment ε
from this player’s own duels
+0.71 ±0.51

Ballots

On ballots
18/18
First-place votes
3
Avg rank
3.1
Consensus pts
12.9
Where voters rank him (1st → 15th)
Ranked #1 on 3 of 18 ballotsRanked #2 on 3 of 18 ballotsRanked #3 on 6 of 18 ballotsRanked #4 on 3 of 18 ballotsRanked #5 on 2 of 18 ballotsRanked #6 on 0 of 18 ballotsRanked #7 on 1 of 18 ballotsRanked #8 on 0 of 18 ballotsRanked #9 on 0 of 18 ballotsRanked #10 on 0 of 18 ballotsRanked #11 on 0 of 18 ballotsRanked #12 on 0 of 18 ballotsRanked #13 on 0 of 18 ballotsRanked #14 on 0 of 18 ballotsRanked #15 on 0 of 18 ballots

Rank history

Every refit is a snapshot — this is how the crowd’s opinion of him has moved as votes came in.

x-axis: refits in order · hover for detail
#1#4#7first refitlatest

Duels

11–2 · 85%
Most common opponents

Recent head-to-heads

Ranked alongside

Players most often on the same ballots as him.

What the model implies

Under the current fit, Pat Surtain II would be favored over a player of equal standing at another position by the baseline gap between the positions. His own strength is 7.26; a player at strength 0 would beat him 0% of the time.