100The Real NFL Top 100
Linebackers·Pittsburgh Steelers

T.J. Watt

PITLB
Overall
#14
Top 100 board
LB rank
#1
incl. duels
Ballot rank
#1
consensus

Strength

s = 6.66 ± 0.78 · score 5.88

Strength is the sum of three parts on one log-odds scale. The board ranks by strength minus its uncertainty.

Position baseline μ
from cross-position duels
−0.62 ±0.56
Ballot standing δ
from position ballots
+7.16 ±0.30
Duel adjustment ε
from this player’s own duels
+0.13 ±0.45

Ballots

On ballots
17/17
First-place votes
6
Avg rank
3.1
Consensus pts
12.9
Where voters rank him (1st → 15th)
Ranked #1 on 6 of 17 ballotsRanked #2 on 1 of 17 ballotsRanked #3 on 4 of 17 ballotsRanked #4 on 2 of 17 ballotsRanked #5 on 2 of 17 ballotsRanked #6 on 0 of 17 ballotsRanked #7 on 2 of 17 ballotsRanked #8 on 0 of 17 ballotsRanked #9 on 0 of 17 ballotsRanked #10 on 0 of 17 ballotsRanked #11 on 0 of 17 ballotsRanked #12 on 0 of 17 ballotsRanked #13 on 0 of 17 ballotsRanked #14 on 0 of 17 ballotsRanked #15 on 0 of 17 ballots

Rank history

Every refit is a snapshot — this is how the crowd’s opinion of him has moved as votes came in.

x-axis: refits in order · hover for detail
#1#8#14first refitlatest

Duels

12–5 · 71%
Most common opponents

Recent head-to-heads

Ranked alongside

Players most often on the same ballots as him.

What the model implies

Under the current fit, T.J. Watt would be favored over a player of equal standing at another position by the baseline gap between the positions. His own strength is 6.66; a player at strength 0 would beat him 0% of the time.